02072nas a2200253 4500000000100000008004100001260001200042653001300054653004300067653002900110653001400139653002000153100001100173700001400184700001100198700002100209700001600230245012200246856007900368300001200447490000800459520133700467022001401804 2021 d c01/202110aCOVID-1910aelimination as a public health problem10amass drug administration10amodelling10aschistosomiasis1 aKura K1 aAyabina D1 aToor J1 aHollingsworth DT1 aAnderson RM00aDisruptions to schistosomiasis programmes due to COVID-19: an analysis of potential impact and mitigation strategies. uhttps://academic.oup.com/trstmh/article-pdf/115/3/236/36508399/traa202.pdf a236-2440 v1153 a
BACKGROUND: The 2030 goal for schistosomiasis is elimination as a public health problem (EPHP), with mass drug administration (MDA) of praziquantel to school-age children (SAC) as a central pillar of the strategy. However, due to coronavirus disease 2019, many mass treatment campaigns for schistosomiasis have been halted, with uncertain implications for the programmes.
METHODS: We use mathematical modelling to explore how postponement of MDA and various mitigation strategies affect achievement of the EPHP goal for Schistosoma mansoni and S. haematobium.
RESULTS: For both S. mansoni and S. haematobium in moderate- and some high-prevalence settings, the disruption may delay the goal by up to 2 y. In some high-prevalence settings, EPHP is not achievable with current strategies and so the disruption will not impact this. Here, increasing SAC coverage and treating adults can achieve the goal. The impact of MDA disruption and the appropriate mitigation strategy varies according to the baseline prevalence prior to treatment, the burden of infection in adults and the stage of the programme.
CONCLUSIONS: Schistosomiasis MDA programmes in medium- and high-prevalence areas should restart as soon as is feasible and mitigation strategies may be required in some settings.
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